How to Rationalize Shenzhen's Housing Price?
Author: Source: Date:2019-04-24
Drawn from the lessons learnt from the burst of housing bubble in Japan in the 1990s and the financial crisis sweeping Hong Kong in 1997, Shenzhen should be cautionary against
1 the emergence and piling up of housing bubble
2 systematic risks associated with rising housing price at a breakneck pace
Therefore, Shenzhen should adjust its goals in the regulation of the housing market. In the short run, Shenzhen should
1 strictly restrict further increase in housing price
2 abandon administrative and regulatory measures preventing the fall of housing price
3 leave the housing price to be determined by supply and demand in the market
4 strive to avoid the burst of housing bubble
5 anticipate a steady fall of 10 to 15 percent a year in housing price
In the long run, Shenzhen should
1 aim to separate the indemnificatory housing market from commercial housing market, with the former facing low-to-middle income groups while the latter facing high income group
2 restrict government intervention in the commercial housing market
In order to reach the short-term and long-term goals, Zhang suggests that Shenzhen should
1 enact corresponding regulatory measures of the commercial housing market in reference to local conditions
2 lower the housing price to a rational level and improve the business environment for the housing market to grow healthily
3 stick with the reform goals, preventing U-turns and unnecessary halts
4 minimize price control and excessive government intervention in the housing market steadily
5 prevent the burst of housing bubble and systematic risks with necessary administrative measures
1 the emergence and piling up of housing bubble
2 systematic risks associated with rising housing price at a breakneck pace
Therefore, Shenzhen should adjust its goals in the regulation of the housing market. In the short run, Shenzhen should
1 strictly restrict further increase in housing price
2 abandon administrative and regulatory measures preventing the fall of housing price
3 leave the housing price to be determined by supply and demand in the market
4 strive to avoid the burst of housing bubble
5 anticipate a steady fall of 10 to 15 percent a year in housing price
In the long run, Shenzhen should
1 aim to separate the indemnificatory housing market from commercial housing market, with the former facing low-to-middle income groups while the latter facing high income group
2 restrict government intervention in the commercial housing market
In order to reach the short-term and long-term goals, Zhang suggests that Shenzhen should
1 enact corresponding regulatory measures of the commercial housing market in reference to local conditions
2 lower the housing price to a rational level and improve the business environment for the housing market to grow healthily
3 stick with the reform goals, preventing U-turns and unnecessary halts
4 minimize price control and excessive government intervention in the housing market steadily
5 prevent the burst of housing bubble and systematic risks with necessary administrative measures